IIT Kanpur Study predicts Third Wave of COVID-19 in India by September, Shares 3 Possible Scenarios

The researchers from the Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur have predicted the third possible wave of COVID-19 in the country by September this year. IIT Kanpur has developed a 'Sutra', mathematics formula for predictions on COVID-19 in India and shared three possible scenarios of the 3rd wave of COVID.

The predictions of the IIT Kanpur researchers regarding the second wave of Coronavirus in India were quite accurate in several terms. Researchers from the Institute are making predictions based on their unique mathematical mode 'Sutra'. Profs. Rajesh Ranjan & Mahendra Verma, along with their team at IIT Kanpur, provide daily COVID-19 forecasts in India.

Following the trend, IIT Kanpur on Wednesday shared its predictions in concern to third wave of COVID-19 in India. IIT Kanpur's third wave predictions have been compiled in three possible scenarios. Institute's predictions are as follows- 

Scenario 1 (Back-to-Normal): Third-wave peak in October, lower peak height.

Scenario 2 (Normal with virus mutations): Peak could be higher, may appear by September.

Scenario 3 (Stricter interventions): Could be delayed until late October.

Third wave predictions -
Scenario 1(Back-to-Normal) : Third wave peak in October, lower peak height.
Scenario 2(Normal with virus mutations): Peak could be higher, may appear by September.
Scenario 3(Stricter interventions): Could be delayed until late October.

— IIT Kanpur (@IITKanpur) June 23, 2021

The data presented by IIT Kanpur is purely based on the research of the involved team, not based on the SUTRA model, and in no way reflects the official views of IIT Kanpur, an official tweet from IIT Kanpur reads.

Read More: IIT Kanpur Develops Sutra to Study the second wave of Covid in India

IIT Kanpur study and predictions regarding the second wave of Covid19, here're predictions that the premiere Institute made regarding 2nd wave:

1. Second wave weaned off in most states

2. Northeast States still record high numbers

3. India's daily avg count - reduced to 63,000

4. TPR<5% - Most states

5. TPR>10% - Kerala, Goa, Sikkim, Meghalaya

6. CFR - increased to 3.5%